[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":201},["ShallowReactive",2],{"triple-beat-INTC":3,"og-beat-monitoring-INTC":200},{"ticker":4,"name":5,"description":6,"epsLabel":7,"guidanceLabel":8,"stockLabel":9,"quarters":10,"tableNotes":160,"highlightQuarter":123,"highlightDescription":165,"sources":166,"latestStock":197},"INTC","Intel","Intelは新CEO Lip-Bu Tanの下でCPU/ファウンドリ再建を進める半導体大手。Altera過半売却で身軽化し、米政府出資・NVIDIA/SoftBank出資・ファウンドリ提携観測が相次ぎセンチメントが急転換、2026年YTDで株価は約3倍（+225%超）に。決算は売上が直近6四半期連続でコンセンサスを上回り、AI需要によるDCAI・Foundryの伸びが鮮明。ただし非GAAP黒字定着が浅く、四半期の会社ガイダンスは6回中4回がコンセンサス未達〜小幅で、明確なビート&レイズは直近のQ1 2026（売上+10.4%・次Qガイド+9.4%）の1回のみ。株価3倍化の主因は決算ビート&レイズというより提携・政府関与・x86再評価という期待先行の色が濃い。","EPS ($, 非GAAP)","次Q売上ガイド (midpoint, $B)","株価反応 ($)",[11,37,58,80,101,122,144],{"quarter":12,"reportDate":13,"event":14,"revenue":15,"eps":20,"guidance":24,"stock":33},"Q4 2024","2025/1/30","売上・EPSともガイダンス上回り着地も、Q1ガイドが弱く翌日株価は-2.9%。Holthaus暫定共同CEO体制",{"actual":16,"consensus":17,"beatPct":18,"yoyPct":19},"$14.3 B","$13.81 B",3.5,-7,{"actual":21,"consensus":22,"beatPct":23},"$0.13","$0.12",8.3,{"revenue":25,"eps":29},{"company":26,"consensus":27,"beatPct":28},"$12.2 B","$12.87 B",-5.2,{"company":30,"consensus":31,"beatPct":32},"$0.00","$0.09",null,{"reportClose":34,"nextClose":35,"changePct":36},"$20.01","$19.43",-2.9,{"quarter":38,"reportDate":39,"event":40,"revenue":41,"eps":46,"guidance":47,"stock":54},"Q1 2025","2025/4/24","Tan新CEO初決算。売上・EPSはビートも、Q2ガイドが弱くcapex削減も嫌気され翌日-6.7%",{"actual":42,"consensus":43,"beatPct":44,"yoyPct":45},"$12.7 B","$12.32 B",3.1,0,{"actual":21,"consensus":30,"beatPct":32},{"revenue":48,"eps":52},{"company":49,"consensus":50,"beatPct":51},"$11.8 B","$12.82 B",-8,{"company":30,"consensus":53,"beatPct":32},"$0.06",{"reportClose":55,"nextClose":56,"changePct":57},"$21.49","$20.05",-6.7,{"quarter":59,"reportDate":60,"event":61,"revenue":62,"eps":66,"guidance":69,"stock":76},"Q2 2025","2025/7/24","売上は+8.2%の大幅ビートだが、リストラ・減損で非GAAP EPSが-$0.10と赤字。Q3ガイドEPSもブレークイブンで翌日-8.5%",{"actual":63,"consensus":64,"beatPct":65,"yoyPct":45},"$12.9 B","$11.92 B",8.2,{"actual":67,"consensus":68,"beatPct":32},"-$0.10","$0.01",{"revenue":70,"eps":74},{"company":71,"consensus":72,"beatPct":73},"$13.1 B","$12.65 B",3.6,{"company":30,"consensus":75,"beatPct":32},"$0.04",{"reportClose":77,"nextClose":78,"changePct":79},"$22.63","$20.70",-8.5,{"quarter":81,"reportDate":82,"event":83,"revenue":84,"eps":89,"guidance":91,"stock":97},"Q3 2025","2025/10/23","4四半期連続の改善。非GAAP EPS$0.23と黒字回復、米政府・NVIDIA・SoftBank出資で財務改善。株価ほぼ横ばい（+0.3%）",{"actual":85,"consensus":86,"beatPct":87,"yoyPct":88},"$13.7 B","$13.14 B",4.3,3,{"actual":90,"consensus":68,"beatPct":32},"$0.23",{"revenue":92,"eps":95},{"company":93,"consensus":72,"beatPct":94},"$13.3 B",5.1,{"company":96,"consensus":75,"beatPct":32},"$0.08",{"reportClose":98,"nextClose":99,"changePct":100},"$38.16","$38.28",0.3,{"quarter":102,"reportDate":103,"event":104,"revenue":105,"eps":109,"guidance":112,"stock":118},"Q4 2025","2026/1/22","売上・EPSはビート（EPS$0.15 vs $0.08）も、供給制約でQ1'26ガイドが弱く翌日-17%の急落。18A初製品出荷",{"actual":85,"consensus":106,"beatPct":107,"yoyPct":108},"$13.4 B",2.2,-4,{"actual":110,"consensus":96,"beatPct":111},"$0.15",87.5,{"revenue":113,"eps":116},{"company":26,"consensus":114,"beatPct":115},"$12.51 B",-2.5,{"company":30,"consensus":117,"beatPct":32},"$0.05",{"reportClose":119,"nextClose":120,"changePct":121},"$54.32","$45.07",-17,{"quarter":123,"reportDate":124,"event":125,"revenue":126,"eps":130,"guidance":133,"stock":140},"Q1 2026","2026/4/23","6四半期連続の売上ビート。売上+10.4%・EPS$0.29と大幅ビート、Q2ガイドも+9.4%上振れの初の明確なビート&レイズ。翌日+23.6%",{"actual":127,"consensus":43,"beatPct":128,"yoyPct":129},"$13.6 B",10.4,7,{"actual":131,"consensus":132,"beatPct":32},"$0.29","$0.02",{"revenue":134,"eps":137},{"company":16,"consensus":135,"beatPct":136},"$13.07 B",9.4,{"company":138,"consensus":31,"beatPct":139},"$0.20",122.2,{"reportClose":141,"nextClose":142,"changePct":143},"$66.78","$82.54",23.6,{"quarter":145,"reportDate":146,"isForecast":147,"event":148,"revenue":149,"eps":152,"guidance":154,"stock":159},"Q2 2026","2026/7/23",true,"2026/7/23 AMC 発表予定。2026/6/22時点のアナリスト予想は当期売上 $14.40 B / 非GAAP EPS $0.21、次Q (3Q 2026) 売上 $15.06 B / EPS $0.27（Koyfin 集約コンセンサス）。",{"actual":150,"consensus":151,"beatPct":32,"yoyPct":32},"n/a","$14.40 B",{"actual":150,"consensus":153,"beatPct":32},"$0.21",{"revenue":155,"eps":157},{"company":150,"consensus":156,"beatPct":32},"$15.06 B",{"company":150,"consensus":158,"beatPct":32},"$0.27",{"reportClose":150,"nextClose":150,"changePct":32},[161,162,163,164],"Q2 2026（2026/7/23 発表予定）はアナリスト予想のみ先行入力。当期 売上$14.40 B / EPS$0.21、次Q (3Q 2026) 売上$15.06 B / EPS$0.27 はいずれも 2026/6/22 時点で参照可能な Koyfin 集約コンセンサス。会社ガイダンス・実績・反応は発表後に更新する。","会計年度は暦年（12月決算）。実績・会社ガイダンスはIntelのSEC EDGAR 8-K（Exhibit 99.1）一次確認。EPSは非GAAP希薄化後ベース。","コンセンサスはCNBC(LSEG)/StockStory/Investing.com/MarketBeat等の二次ソース。会社ガイダンスEPSのコンセンサス値が断片的、または実績EPSコンセンサスが$0.00近辺で除算不能な箇所はbeatPctをnull（参考値）とした。Intelは通年ガイダンスを四半期リリースで明示提供しないため通年ガイド欄は設けていない。","ガイダンス上振れ率 = （会社ガイドmidpoint − 当時のコンセンサス）÷ コンセンサス × 100。プラスが上振れ。株価反応は決算発表日（引け後発表）終値→翌取引日終値の変化率。","Q1 2026（2026/4/23発表）が初めて『決算+ガイダンスの両輪ビート&レイズ』を示した四半期。売上$13.6Bはコンセンサス$12.32Bを+10.4%上回り、非GAAP EPS$0.29はコンセンサス$0.02を桁違いに超過。さらにQ2'26売上ガイドmidpoint$14.3Bはコンセンサス$13.07Bを+9.4%、EPSガイド$0.20も$0.09を+122%上回る明確なレイズ。DCAI+22%、Foundry+16%と中身も伴い、翌日株価は+23.6%。ただしそれ以前（Q4'24〜Q4'25）はガイダンスがコンセンサス未達〜+5%程度に留まり、Q4'25は-2.5%ガイドで-17%下落。つまり株価3倍化の大半はガイダンスのビートではなく米政府出資・NVIDIA/SoftBank出資・ファウンドリ提携の期待が先行し、ガイダンスが実態として追いついたのはQ1'26のこの1四半期のみ。『構造転換済み』とまでは言えず、転換の最初の1四半期が現れた段階という見立て。",[167,170,173,176,179,182,185,188,191,194],{"label":168,"url":169},"SEC 8-K Q1 2026 Earnings Release (2026/4/23)","https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/50863/000005086326000077/q126earningsrelease.htm",{"label":171,"url":172},"SEC 8-K Q4 2025 Earnings Release (2026/1/22)","https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0000050863/000005086326000009/q425earningsrelease.htm",{"label":174,"url":175},"SEC 8-K Q3 2025 Earnings Release (2025/10/23)","https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0000050863/000005086325000169/q325earningsrelease.htm",{"label":177,"url":178},"SEC 8-K Q2 2025 Earnings Release (2025/7/24)","https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0000050863/000005086325000107/q225_earningsrelease.htm",{"label":180,"url":181},"SEC 8-K Q1 2025 Earnings Release (2025/4/24)","https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0000050863/000005086325000070/q125_earningsrelease.htm",{"label":183,"url":184},"SEC 8-K Q4 2024 Earnings Release (2025/1/30)","https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0000050863/000005086325000004/q424_earningsrelease.htm",{"label":186,"url":187},"CNBC Intel Q1 2026 earnings","https://www.cnbc.com/2026/04/23/intel-intc-q1-2026-earnings-report.html",{"label":189,"url":190},"CNBC Intel Q4 2025 earnings","https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/22/intel-intc-earnings-report-q4-2025-.html",{"label":192,"url":193},"CNBC Intel Q3 2025 earnings","https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/23/intel-intc-earnings-report-q3-2025-.html",{"label":195,"url":196},"StockAnalysis.com INTC（株価・履歴）","https://stockanalysis.com/stocks/intc/",{"date":198,"close":199},"2026-06-18","$133.99","https://log.eurekapu.com/og/pages/general/beat-monitoring-INTC.png?title=INTC%20Intel%20-%20%E3%83%93%E3%83%BC%E3%83%88%E3%83%A2%E3%83%8B%E3%82%BF%E3%83%AA%E3%83%B3%E3%82%B0&sig=72782f454045b4a5",1782528865451]